Rochester 
W-L: ( 7- 4) PR = 91.7753
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
219 A Nazareth Empire Eight ( 2-10, 80.1) 17- 4
221 H St John Fisher Empire Eight ( 8- 3, 92.9) 10- 6
304 A Brockport Empire Eight ( 7- 4, 88.6) 8- 9
311 A Stevenson MAC Commonwea ( 6- 5, 90.4) 11-12
314 H St Lawrence Liberty Leagu ( 5- 6, 91.1) 14-12
320 A Bard Liberty Leagu ( 1- 8, 71.4) 20- 3
321 A Vassar Liberty Leagu ( 5- 6, 88.1) 15- 8
325 H Ithaca Liberty Leagu ( 8- 4, 92.1) 14-15
328 H Geneseo Empire Eight ( 5- 6, 90.0) 13-11
404 H William Smith Liberty Leagu (11- 1, 96.0) 12-19
408 H RIT Liberty Leagu ( 8- 4, 91.0) 16-14
411 A Clarkson Liberty Leagu ( 8- 4, 91.5)
414 A Utica Empire Eight ( 7- 3, 83.9)
417 H Skidmore Liberty Leagu ( 7- 7, 90.3)
418 H RPI Liberty Leagu ( 6- 5, 89.8)
425 A Union Liberty Leagu ( 6- 4, 92.6)
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
219 A Nazareth 17- 4 13 11 0.00
221 H St John Fisher 10- 6 4 -1 ++ 4.79
304 A Brockport 8- 9 -1 3 - -3.85
311 A Stevenson 11-12 -1 1 - -2.07
314 H St Lawrence 14-12 2 1 1.01
320 A Bard 20- 3 17 20 0.00
321 A Vassar 15- 8 7 3 1.65
325 H Ithaca 14-15 -1 0 -0.95
328 H Geneseo 13-11 2 2 -0.10
404 H William Smith 12-19 -7 -4 -1.13
408 H RIT 16-14 2 1 0.93
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
304 A Brockport 8- 9 -1 3 - -3.85
311 A Stevenson 11-12 -1 1 - -2.07
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
221 H St John Fisher 10- 6 4 -1 ++ 4.79
|
Rochester Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent |
Who Gets the Point?
| Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
| Adrian |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| Albertus Magnus |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| Albion |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| Albright |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| Alfred |
Rochester |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) |
Rochester |
| Alfred State |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| Allegheny |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| Alma |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| Alvernia |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| Amherst |
Amherst |
|
 
| Amherst |
| Anderson (IN) |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| Anna Maria |
Rochester |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Rochester |
| Arcadia |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| Augsburg |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| Augustana (IL) |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| Aurora |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| Averett |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| Babson |
Rochester |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Rochester |
| Baldwin Wallace |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| Bard |
Rochester |
Rochester |
 
| |
| Bates |
Bates |
|
 
| Bates |
| Beloit |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| Berry |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| Bethany |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| Bowdoin |
Bowdoin |
|
 
| Bowdoin |
| Brevard |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| Bridgewater |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| Bridgewater State |
Rochester |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Rochester |
| Brockport |
Brockport |
Brockport |
 
|
| Buffalo State |
Rochester |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Rochester |
| Cal Lutheran |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| Calvin |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| Canton |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| Capital |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| Carroll |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| Carthage |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| Castleton |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| Catholic |
Catholic |
|
 
| Catholic |
| Cedar Crest |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| Centenary (NJ) |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| Centre |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| Chapman |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| Chatham |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| Chicago |
Chicago |
|
 
| Chicago |
| Christopher Newport |
Christopher Newport |
|
 
| Christopher Newport |
| Claremont-Mudd-Scripps |
Claremont-Mudd-Scripps |
|
 
| Claremont-Mudd-Scripps |
| Clark |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| Clarkson |
Rochester |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 3)( 3- 2) |
Rochester |
| Coast Guard |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| Colby |
Colby |
|
 
| Colby |
| Colby-Sawyer |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| Colorado College |
Colorado College |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Colorado College |
| Concordia-Wisconsin |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| Connecticut College |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| Cornell College |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| Cortland |
Cortland |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) |
Cortland |
| Curry |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| Dean |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| Delaware Valley |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| Denison |
Denison |
|
 
| Denison |
| DePauw |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| DeSales |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| Dickinson |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| Drew |
Rochester |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Rochester |
| Eastern |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| Eastern Connecticut |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| Eastern Mennonite |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| Edgewood |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| Elizabethtown |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| Elmhurst |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| Elmira |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| Elms |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| Emerson |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| Emmanuel (MA) |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| Endicott |
Endicott |
|
 
| Endicott |
| Farmingdale State |
Rochester |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) |
Rochester |
| FDU-Florham |
Rochester |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Rochester |
| Ferrum |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| Fitchburg State |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| Framingham State |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| Franciscan |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| Franklin |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| Franklin & Marshall |
Franklin & Marshall |
|
 
| Franklin & Marshall |
| Fredonia |
Rochester |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Rochester |
| Geneseo |
Rochester |
Rochester |
 
| |
| Geneva College |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| George Fox |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| Gettysburg |
Gettysburg |
|
 
| Gettysburg |
| Gordon |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| Goucher |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| Greensboro |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| Grove City |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| Guilford |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| Gwynedd Mercy |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| Hamilton |
Hamilton |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) |
Hamilton |
| Hamline |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| Hanover |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| Hartford |
Rochester |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Rochester |
| Hartwick |
Rochester |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) |
Rochester |
| Haverford |
Haverford |
|
 
| Haverford |
| Hendrix |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| Hilbert |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| Hood |
Rochester |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Rochester |
| Hope |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| Huntingdon |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| Husson |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| Illinois Tech |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| Illinois Wesleyan |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| Immaculata |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| Ithaca |
Ithaca |
Ithaca |
 
| |
| John Carroll |
Rochester |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Rochester |
| Johnson & Wales |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| Kalamazoo |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| Kean |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| Keene State |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| Kenyon |
Rochester |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Rochester |
| Keuka |
Rochester |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Rochester |
| Kings |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| La Roche |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| Lake Forest |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| Lasell |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| Lawrence |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| Lebanon Valley |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| Lewis & Clark |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| Linfield |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| Lycoming |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| Lynchburg |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| Maine Maritime |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| Maine-Farmington |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| Manhattanville |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| Marian (WI) |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| Marietta |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| Maritime |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| Mary Washington |
Mary Washington |
|
 
| Mary Washington |
| Marymount |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| Marywood |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| Massachusetts Maritime |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| Massachusetts-Boston |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| Massachusetts-Dartmouth |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| McDaniel |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| Merchant Marine |
Rochester |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Rochester |
| Meredith |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| Messiah |
Messiah |
|
 
| Messiah |
| Methodist |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| Middlebury |
Middlebury |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Middlebury |
| Misericordia |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| MIT |
MIT |
|
 
| MIT |
| Mitchell |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| Montclair State |
Rochester |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Rochester |
| Moravian |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| Morrisville |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| Mount Aloysius |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| Mount Holyoke |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| Mount St Joseph |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| Mount St Mary (NY) |
Rochester |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Rochester |
| Mount St Vincent |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| Mount Union |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| MSOE |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| Muhlenberg |
Muhlenberg |
|
 
| Muhlenberg |
| Muskingum |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| Nazareth |
Rochester |
Rochester |
 
| |
| Neumann |
Rochester |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Rochester |
| New England College |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| New Paltz |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| Nichols |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| North Carolina Wesleyan |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| North Central (IL) |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| Norwich |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| Notre Dame (MD) |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| Oberlin |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| Occidental |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| Oglethorpe |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| Ohio Northern |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| Ohio Wesleyan |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| Old Westbury |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| Oneonta |
Rochester |
|
tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) |
Rochester |
| Oswego |
Rochester |
|
Rochester   3- 1 vs 1- 3 |
|
| Otterbein |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| Pacific |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| Pacific Lutheran |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| Pfeiffer |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| Piedmont |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| Plattsburgh |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| Plymouth State |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| Pomona Pitzer |
Pomona Pitzer |
|
 
| Pomona Pitzer |
| Potsdam |
Rochester |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Rochester |
| Puget Sound |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| Purchase |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| Ramapo |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| Randolph |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| Randolph-Macon |
Rochester |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Rochester |
| Redlands |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| Regis (MA) |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| Rhode Island College |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| Rhodes |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| RIT |
Rochester |
Rochester |
 
| |
| Rivier |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| Roanoke |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| Roger Williams |
Rochester |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Rochester |
| Rowan |
Rowan |
|
 
| Rowan |
| RPI |
Rochester |
|
insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1) |
Rochester |
| Sage |
Rochester |
|
Rochester   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
| Salem State |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| Salisbury |
Salisbury |
|
Salisbury   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
| Salve Regina |
Rochester |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Rochester |
| Scranton |
Scranton |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Scranton |
| Sewanee |
Sewanee |
|
 
| Sewanee |
| Shenandoah |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| Simmons |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| Skidmore |
Rochester |
|
Rochester   4- 1 vs 2- 3 |
|
| Smith |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| Southern Maine |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| Southern Virginia |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| Southwestern |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| Spalding |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| Springfield |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| St Benedict |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| St John Fisher |
Rochester |
Rochester |
 
| |
| St Joseph (CT) |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| St Josephs (LI) |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| St Josephs College (ME) |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| St Lawrence |
Rochester |
Rochester |
 
| |
| St Marys (IN) |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| St Marys (MD) |
Rochester |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Rochester |
| St Vincent |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| Stevens |
Stevens |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) |
Stevens |
| Stevenson |
Stevenson |
Stevenson |
 
| |
| Stockton |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| Suffolk |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| SUNY Poly |
Rochester |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) |
Rochester |
| Susquehanna |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| Swarthmore |
Swarthmore |
|
 
| Swarthmore |
| Sweet Briar |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| TCNJ |
TCNJ |
|
 
| TCNJ |
| Thiel |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| Thomas |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| Transylvania |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| Trine |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| Trinity |
Trinity |
|
 
| Trinity |
| Trinity Washington |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| Tufts |
Tufts |
|
 
| Tufts |
| U New England |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| Union |
Union |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) |
Union |
| Ursinus |
Rochester |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Rochester |
| Utica |
Rochester |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) |
Rochester |
| Vassar |
Rochester |
Rochester |
 
| |
| Vermont State-Lyndon |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| Virginia Wesleyan |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| Warren Wilson |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| Washington & Jefferson |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| Washington & Lee |
Washington & Lee |
|
 
| Washington & Lee |
| Washington College |
Washington College |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Washington College |
| Wellesley |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| Wentworth Tech |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| Wesleyan |
Wesleyan |
|
 
| Wesleyan |
| Western Connecticut |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| Western New England |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| Westfield State |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| Westminster (PA) |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| Wheaton (MA) |
Rochester |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Rochester |
| Whitman |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| Whittier |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| Whitworth |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| Widener |
Rochester |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Rochester |
| Wilkes |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| Willamette |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| William Peace |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| William Smith |
William Smith |
William Smith |
 
| |
| Williams |
Williams |
|
 
| Williams |
| Wilson |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| Wisconsin-Eau Claire |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| Wisconsin-La Crosse |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| Wisconsin-River Falls |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| Wisconsin-Stevens Point |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| Wisconsin-Stout |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| Wittenberg |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| Wooster |
Wooster |
|
 
| Wooster |
| Worcester State |
Rochester |
|
 
| Rochester |
| York |
York |
|
 
| York |
PowerWise = 237

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 10.51
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Nazareth ( 2-10, 80.1) 17- 4 -19.81 19.39 0.31 0.96 18.82
0 H St John Fisher ( 8- 3, 92.9) 10- 6 -7.02 32.17 -0.31 0.96 30.43
0 A Brockport ( 7- 4, 88.6) 8- 9 -11.28 27.91 0.31 0.96 -10.48
0 A Stevenson ( 6- 5, 90.4) 11-12 -9.50 29.69 0.31 0.96 -8.78
0 H St Lawrence ( 5- 6, 91.1) 14-12 -8.80 30.40 -0.31 0.96 28.74
0 A Bard ( 1- 8, 71.4) 20- 3 -28.50 10.70 0.31 0.96 10.52
0 A Vassar ( 5- 6, 88.1) 15- 8 -11.79 27.40 0.31 0.96 26.47
0 H Ithaca ( 8- 4, 92.1) 14-15 -7.76 31.43 -0.31 0.96 -7.71
0 H Geneseo ( 5- 6, 90.0) 13-11 -9.91 29.28 -0.31 0.96 27.67
0 H William Smith (11- 1, 96.0) 12-19 -3.94 35.25 -0.31 0.96 -4.06
0 H RIT ( 8- 4, 91.0) 16-14 -8.89 30.31 -0.31 0.96 28.65
------
140.27
|
winning pts = 171.3058 losing points = -31.0351
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------